Independent macro and Treasury research

Independent evidence for consequential financial decisions.

YieldGuard publishes monitored evidence on monetary regimes, liquidity, funding conditions and systemic risk. Every conclusion is tied to a stated cutoff, method, source record and correction policy.

Analytical framework

Treasury decisions are governed by macroeconomic conditions.

Rates alone cannot show whether yield compensates for liquidity, regime and systemic risk. Headline yield can improve while funding conditions deteriorate. The governing question is what produced the rate, how reliable the evidence is, and which balance-sheet assumption breaks first.

The public research framework connects each monitored condition to a professional decision consequence.
Research questionMonitored evidenceDecision consequencePublic output
Is the regime changing?Growth, inflation, liquidity, stress and policy pillars.Revisit duration, liquidity and timing assumptions before mandate review.Regional regime score and pillar readings.
What is driving the yield?Curve shape, policy path, funding stress and rate resets.Separate compensation for time from compensation for pressure or uncertainty.Treasury context and worked rate evidence.
Can the signal be trusted?Knowledge cutoff, source freshness, revisions, coverage and method version.Prevent stale or revised evidence from entering a decision as if it were contemporaneous.Provenance, status and methodology disclosures.
Where is risk concentrating?Sovereign, governance, leverage and digital-systemic domains.Identify where a portfolio or operating assumption depends on one fragile relationship.Risk context, limitations and driver summaries.

Flagship publication

Macrovision Monthly governs the monitored system as an auditable research series.

Macrovision Monthly follows a fixed publication date: the 22nd of each calendar month. The first canonical issue is scheduled for . A separate July historical review makes 360 current-method reconstructed observations publicly reviewable without presenting them as a backdated Monthly edition. Every canonical edition freezes evidence at a declared cutoff, explains what changed and preserves linked corrections.

Public record

Public research is complete, attributable and available without registration.

The public record provides current indicators, monthly conclusions, source treatment, methodology, correction notices and worked evidence. It is a substantive research resource rather than a restricted demonstration.

Current indicators

YieldGuard Lens

Review public macro, Treasury-rate, source-freshness and risk context in one versioned snapshot.

Review current observations

Monthly research

Macrovision Monthly

Review the fixed monthly schedule, current approval state and every authorised edition once published.

Publication schedule and status

Method record

Methodology and corrections

Inspect definitions, source treatment, formula status, publication controls and linked corrections.

Inspect the methods

Worked evidence

Treasury reset case

Follow observations, competing formulas, selected method, calculation hashes and evidence limits through a real rate reset.

Read the worked case

Institutional analytical services

Macrovision and Lens Pro extend the public record into governed institutional workflows.

Institutional mandates require longer histories, attributable drivers, reproducible files and controlled interfaces. Macrovision and Lens Pro provide those extensions while preserving the methods, evidence lineage and correction record of the public research.

Macroeconomic research service

Macrovision

Full regional histories, metric dossiers, evidence-backed drivers, validated prognosis records, correction-aware archives and downloadable HTML, PDF, CSV and JSON artefacts.

  • For researchDistinguish what was known then from what the current method reconstructs now.
  • For committeesCarry a frozen cutoff, methods, warnings and hashes into review.
  • For systemsUse authorised data routes and repeatable exports instead of copying a dashboard.
Macrovision institutional access

Cross-domain risk service

Lens Pro

Deeper sovereign, governance, leverage, digital-systemic and Treasury risk histories with driver evidence, coverage, uncertainty and integration options kept visible.

  • For monitoringMove from a headline composite to the domains and observations underneath it.
  • For challengeSee where confidence, freshness or coverage weakens the apparent signal.
  • For integrationBring governed histories and exports into internal risk and treasury workflows.
Lens Pro institutional access

Institutional engagement

Institutional access is intended for teams that require governed relationships between regime, liquidity, risk and the evidence used to justify action.

Institutional enquiries

YieldGuard Ltd, company number 16914415, is registered in England and Wales. YieldGuard provides technology and research. YieldGuard does not custody assets, hold client money, provide investment advice, act as broker or dealer, make discretionary decisions or guarantee returns. Professional users remain responsible for their decisions and for obtaining regulated advice where required.