YieldGuard Lens

YieldGuard Lens is the public research monitor for teams that need to know what sits behind a Treasury rate.

Live Macrovision signals connect regime, curve, funding, risk, source dates and data confidence. Lens shows no current reading unless fresh evidence is available.

Lens is a free, public snapshot of how the macro backdrop meets the United States Treasury market (regional macro indicators, Treasury rates, the yield-curve slope and an aggregate digital-asset stress reading), with a plain-English read on what it means. It is information you can act on with your own judgement, not advice.

From live monitoring to a monthly research record

Lens shows the latest trustworthy public snapshot. Macrovision Monthly follows a fixed publication date: the 22nd of each calendar month. The first canonical issue is scheduled for . A separate July historical review provides current-method reconstructed context without asserting a backdated publication. Each canonical edition freezes evidence at a declared cutoff, records what changed, states limitations and preserves linked corrections.

Read the historical reviewPublication schedule and statusPublication register

What Lens is

A versioned, timestamped snapshot supplied by Macrovision and published to a public data contract. Every figure carries an as-of time, a methodology version, its sources and a freshness status, so nothing is shown without provenance.

Who it is for

Professional treasury teams (DAO treasuries, stablecoin reserves, fund cash desks, family offices and platform or API integrators), who want a fast, honest macro-to-treasury read ahead of a positioning review.

How Macrovision powers it

Macrovision aggregates public macro and Treasury-rate sources into a deterministic snapshot for each as-of date and methodology version. It exposes the snapshot at a public-safe path that contains no secrets, no customer data and no recommendations.

Methodology macrovision-lens-v1 · … sources

  • Source list is published with each live snapshot.

What YieldGuard adds

Under an institutional engagement, YieldGuard can evaluate a proposed option against client-defined policy and evidence, run a no-asset Shadow evaluation, and produce a decision packet that records macro context, source timestamps, assumptions, exclusions, methodology version, and replay status for human review. These are decision-support artefacts, not recommendations. YieldGuard Ltd does not custody assets, hold client money, route, allocate or execute, and it makes no return guarantees.

Macro-to-treasury snapshot

Data temporarily unavailable. The live macro-to-treasury snapshot could not be loaded. The information below is updated by Macrovision and refreshes automatically when available.
United States · composite macro signal
Regime: ·

Drivers not published in this snapshot.

Euro Area · composite macro signal
Regime: ·

Drivers not published in this snapshot.

1-month Treasury
3-month Treasury
2-year Treasury
10-year Treasury
10-year minus 2-year spread

How current is this?

Lens shows the time of the latest successful Macrovision refresh. If a snapshot is stale or degraded we say so; we never present old figures as current.

· · · contract lens-treasury-snapshot-v1

What is moving the signal

Plain-language drivers behind the regional signal, straight from the snapshot. They appear in the United States and Euro Area blocks above.

Digital-asset systemic stress

An aggregate, public stress context only (not a security-level or issuer-level view). The reading appears in the snapshot above.

Methodology

Lens uses the Macrovision Lens methodology (version shown above). The snapshot is deterministic for a given as-of date and methodology version. Read the full methodology in the research library.

Proof & evidence (samples)

These are redacted structure examples derived from the flagship USTB flow. They are for inspection and diligence, not claims of live client output. Every item below is an illustrative methodology record and is not presented as observed client evidence. None contains customer, counterparty, wallet, issuer or personal data: identifiers are placeholders and the hash fields are illustrative label strings, not real digests.

YieldGuard turns Lens context into auditable decision evidence: a replayable record of the macro context, source timestamps, methodology version and status behind a treasury review. The samples below show the shape of that evidence. They do not represent any treasury action that was approved, executed, recommended or guaranteed, and YieldGuard does not custody assets, hold client money, route, allocate or execute.

  • Committee packet (sample): the shape of a committee decision packet: scope, summary, passport and activation context, an embedded TrustReceipt and a verification block. View the committee-packet.sample.json sample.
  • TrustReceipt (sample): the compact receipt that binds a decision to its policy bundle, evidence root and role credentials by hash, with a proof locator. View the trust-receipt.sample.json sample.
  • Replay summary (sample): the deterministic re-check result: whether the passport, activation and TrustReceipt recompute to the same values offline. View the replay-summary.sample.json sample.
  • USTB eligibility (concept): the flagship demo path is a wrapper labelled USTB. In these samples it is a generic product label, not a customer or counterparty identity, and the eligibility status shown is illustrative only.
  • Decision evidence (concept): the packet is evidence of how a review was reached and that it replays consistently; it is not a recommendation, instruction or guarantee to act.

How verification works. Each packet carries a packet_version (the samples use committee-decision-packet.v1). To verify, the packet is canonicalised deterministically with RFC 8785 JSON Canonicalization Scheme (JCS) and hashed with SHA-256, emitted as sha256: followed by the hex digest; the recomputed value is compared with the packet’s own hash. The embedded TrustReceipt is re-derived independently and its hash and identifier compared the same way. An offline verifier recomputes these hashes locally, with no network or secret dependency, and additionally checks the passport, activation and TrustReceipt match flags. The label-string hashes in these public samples are illustrative, so they show the method and structure rather than a live cryptographic proof.

Illustrative evidence is explicitly labelled and is never presented as an observed or published result. For the full methodology and verifier description, see the research library.

See Macrovision work through a real rate reset

The 551 bp Treasury reset case shows the public observations, competing formulas, selected model, bill-value maths, calculation hashes, inactive branches and evidence limits in one visitor-readable trace.

Read the worked case

What professional access changes

The public monitor is complete enough to support an informed first review. Macrovision and Lens Pro extend the same evidence when a team needs full history, deeper drivers, recurring oversight, downloadable artefacts or governed integration.

Public research and its professional extensions use the same provenance and methodology controls.
Research surfaceWhat it answersEvidence depthAccess
YieldGuard LensWhat conditions are visible now?Current public snapshot, sources, freshness and confidence.Free and public.
MacrovisionWhat changed, why, and what does the record support?Full histories, dossiers, frozen drivers, prognosis records and report artefacts.Professional.
Lens ProWhere is risk concentrating across connected domains?Risk histories, drivers, coverage, exports and integration-ready evidence.Professional.

Institutional services

View Lens snapshotInstitutional data accessVerify Lens receiptDownload sample packetData and integration enquiries

Research and data enquiries

Institutional research and data enquiries are handled directly by the YieldGuard research desk.

Institutional enquiries

Illustrative evidence is explicitly labelled and is never presented as an observed or published result.

Compliance boundary

Lens is informational and does not provide investment advice, custody, brokerage or discretionary management. YieldGuard does not route, allocate or execute treasury actions and makes no guarantee of any return. Every reference to a YieldGuard proof concept on this page is an illustrative methodology record unless explicitly identified as a controlled evidence record.